Price action and order flow are two similar but different ways to trade the market.
Traders who trade with price action believe that anything that can affect the price is already reflected in it. While order flow traders how trade is being executed affects price.
It got me thinking...what if there was a way to combine price action with order flow? How could myself as a trader benefit from it?
The result was the Price Scalper which is a combination of price action and order flow.
The overriding goal of order flow analysis is that it allows you to figure out who is in control of the market. Once you know who is in control of the market it allows you to place trades with more confidence, monitor the trades you are in to close them early or stay in them longer, beyond your profit targets.
Combining price action and order flow analysis on the same chart offers traders a more comprehensive and nuanced understanding of market dynamics than using either method in isolation. Price action tells you what the market did (the historical path of price), while order flow reveals how and why it did it (the real-time buying and selling pressure driving those movements). This synergy can significantly improve trading decisions and strategies.
Why Combine Price Action and Order Flow?
Price Action Alone can be subjective and prone to false signals. A breakout on a chart might look convincing, but without knowing the underlying order flow (e.g., was it driven by strong volume and conviction, or did it occur on low volume?), it's harder to gauge its validity. Relying solely on patterns can be misleading without understanding the context driving them.
Order Flow Alone can be overwhelming with data, noisy, and difficult to interpret without context. Focusing solely on the numbers without the broader picture provided by price structure can lead to analysis paralysis and difficulty in seeing the larger trend. Order flow is often best used as a confirmation tool within a broader price action or market structure framework.
Order flow is the engine driving price movement. Analyzing the executed orders (volume, bid/ask aggression) helps understand the supply and demand dynamics that create the price patterns you see on the chart.
Benefits of Combining Price Action and Order Flow
Enhanced Confirmation: Order flow can validate or invalidate price action signals.
For example:
Support/Resistance - Seeing significant buy orders (absorption) via footprint charts at a price action support level increases confidence that the level will hold. Conversely, weak order flow at a support level might signal a higher probability of a break.
Breakouts - High volume and strong directional order flow (e.g., aggressive buying) accompanying a price breakout confirms the move's strength. A breakout on low volume or weak order flow might be a false move (fakeout).
Trend Strength - Increasing volume and order flow imbalances in the direction of a trend confirm its health. Declining volume or counter-trend order flow pressure during a trend suggests potential weakening or reversal.
When combining order flow and price action you get improved contextual understanding because these analyses provides a clearer picture of the market environment.
Impulsive vs. Corrective Moves - Identifying strong directional moves (impulsive) driven by order flow imbalances versus sideways or weak moves (corrective) with balanced order flow helps traders align with the dominant market force.
Market Sentiment - Real-time order flow data provides a more accurate gauge of immediate buying or selling pressure than price action alone.
Better Entry and Exit Timing - Order flow help pinpoint specific price levels with high activity (high volume nodes, large limit orders) which often act as crucial support/resistance or magnets for price, allowing for more refined entries and exits.
Spotting absorption or exhaustion patterns in the order flow at key price action levels can provide high-probability entry signals.
Early Reversal Detection - Order flow often reveals shifts in supply and demand before they become obvious on a price chart:
Absorption - Large traders being absorbed at highs or lows (indicated by high volume but limited price movement on footprint charts) can signal an impending reversal.
Identifying Institutional Activity - Order flow analysis can help spot large orders (sometimes hidden, like iceberg orders) which can indicate the intentions of institutional traders and potentially foreshadow significant price moves.
By layering the granular, real-time insights of order flow onto the structural map provided by price action, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics, improve the probability of their setups, and make more informed, confident trading decisions.
Price Scalper can be used alone, and it can also be used in conjunction with order flow.
Here is an example of having bearish sign in the Price Scalper which I am able to confirm with order flow.>